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Royal Mail looks like avoiding a Christmas strike from postal workers as the mediation process brings the company and unions closer to agreement on pensions, pay and working conditions - with analysts optimistic about the improved relations between the two sides.
After several weeks of talks involving the mediator, Professor Lynette Harris, the postal operator and the Communications Workers Union have revealed a series of proposals that the two sides said has allowed them to "better understand their respective positions".
The proposals include the commitment to introduce a Collective Defined Contribution Scheme to replace the Royal Mail Pension Plan, which would provide a target income without a guarantee.
Until a new pensions forum lobbies the government into agreeing for this kind of scheme to be made available in the UK, the two sides suggest a defined benefit cash scheme should be introduced on the terms that Royal Mail has already proposed, with members of its defined contribution scheme with five or more years of continuous service offered membership of this scheme.
New members of defined contribution scheme will be auto-enrolled at the highest contributions level, of 10% from the company and 6% personal, should also be introduced, the proposal said.
The cash pension cost for RMG would therefore remain at around £400m in 2018-19, analysts said, as the increase in the DC contributions would be offset by a cut in DB contributions.
An increase of 2.6% has been proposed for pay, overtime and allowances from April 2017 and a 2% basic pay increase from April 2018, but with the working week falling by an hour to 38 hours, implying a 2019 hourly pay rise of 4.6%.
The increases would be on the basis of a later last delivery time and range of productivity enhancing initiatives, including deployment of automated hours data capture and will see some delivery method trials.
Later cut-off times could potentially increase revenue by around £45m and cut costs by around £20m, Royal Mail believes, thus paying for much of the cost of the one less working hour.
Analysts at UBS said the proposals "have left a lot of questions unanswered", but in conclusion was a little more optimistic than before.
Having seen the full details, UBS was "more hopeful these proposals can be self-funded, although the wage increase is one area where we are still cautious".
"One of the key outcomes for the talks in our view is whether the two parties can start working together again (a problem the report itself notes has become a problem in the past 15-24 months) in order to change the business for the changing market it is in. In an environment where on our current forecasts UK costs are flat to slightly up, growing revenue is going to be key for future profitability and one where cooperation would be a significant benefit."
Investec said releasing the proposal suggested there was a high degree of comfort on both sides, although a formal agreement has not yet been reached.
"In aggregate, it is difficult to quantify the impact. We assume a basic pay increase of 2% from April 2017 including subsequent years with around 2% productivity growth.
"Higher productivity growth should offset the pay increases and Royal Mail has the lowest margin by far of the listed European mail operators suggesting significant potential for margin expansion through such initiatives as parcels automation, which remains in its most formative stage.
Analysts anticipate many new workers will reduce their pension contributions from 6%, bringing RMG's down, with existing DC scheme members typically contributing at the lowest level of 1-2%.
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Royal Mail close to agreeing pension and pay deal with unions
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TrueBlueTerrier
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Royal Mail close to agreeing pension and pay deal with unions
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maisymoo04
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Royal Mail close to agreeing pension and pay deal with unions
for once in my time at royal snail this seems to be a decent offer I no its not agreed yet only a report and some will not like it . will the pay offer still be backdated tho till last year on all allowances or maybe a lump sum sweetner ?? 
"Some day I will have the bottle to take the money"
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dids620
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Royal Mail close to agreeing pension and pay deal with unions
In fear of sounding like a sour puss, inflation was 2.8% in October so that should be the least we should get. The only thing i didn't want is later finishing times. At this rate, by 2021 negotiations we will be working til 5 maybe 6 pm and calling it a good deal.
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Celgar
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Royal Mail close to agreeing pension and pay deal with unions
'Seems' could be the word and there is no such thing as a free lunch. RM might take yet another hour off our working hours but that hours work doesn't just disappear. Someone will have to do it and RM is resistant to taking on more staff except when they do try and get more staff but the HR department messes it up. The majority of pension scheme's in this country are in extreme deficit and until the interest rates return to their former levels, which may never happen, nothing much will change. And finally read the last bit of the OP above about the expectation that percentages of RM wages being paid into the pension scheme will decrease. In addition to this for ages RM have had newer RM employees paying minimum or lower percentages into their RM pensions for a long time with few noticing the fact. 
The views I express here are mine alone and do not represent the views of Royal Mail Group.
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Celgar
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Royal Mail close to agreeing pension and pay deal with unions
I fully agree with you. The rumour was we may have had starting times move forward by two hours. The most likely reason for dropping it down to thirty minutes later instead would be making it impossible to get nine o'clock special delivery items out on time. All the time RM is chasing the lowest common denominator instead of making an effort to improve the business. It hasn't gone unnoticed though by big business, financial journalists, and the mainstream media. The likelihood is what they are doing will come back to bite them.dids620 wrote:In fear of sounding like a sour puss, inflation was 2.8% in October so that should be the least we should get. The only thing i didn't want is later finishing times. At this rate, by 2021 negotiations we will be working til 5 maybe 6 pm and calling it a good deal.
The views I express here are mine alone and do not represent the views of Royal Mail Group.
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LouBarlow
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Royal Mail close to agreeing pension and pay deal with unions
Am I reading the pension bit right? Basically, we all agree to the planned changes that Royal Mail originally set out (that everyone was up in arms about) and just have to trust that the CWU/RM will bring about a change in the law that will ensure a new pension scheme will happen in the future?
Yeah, not buying that one. A No vote from me if so.
Yeah, not buying that one. A No vote from me if so.
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Red Robbo
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Royal Mail close to agreeing pension and pay deal with unions
Surely the wrong government in place for any political decision to help our pension agreement with RM ??
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SW17
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Royal Mail close to agreeing pension and pay deal with unions
I agree, if this is to be the case they shouldn't be able to change the current pension scheme we are in until they get the law changed first, going into this blind is not acceptable and would result in a no vote from me also.LouBarlow wrote:Am I reading the pension bit right? Basically, we all agree to the planned changes that Royal Mail originally set out (that everyone was up in arms about) and just have to trust that the CWU/RM will bring about a change in the law that will ensure a new pension scheme will happen in the future?
Yeah, not buying that one. A No vote from me if so.
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ham2505
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Royal Mail close to agreeing pension and pay deal with unions
Still a No vote from me if start times move later....