Did Royal Mail question this result ?

[Lincox]

comparing a Mori Opinion Poll of 1000 people commissioned by her highness as against a ballot of 115,000 royal mail staff for which there was a turnout of over 60% is also invalid.

[Brain Fury]

comparing a Mori Opinion Poll of 1000 people commissioned by her highness as against a ballot of 115,000 royal mail staff for which there was a turnout of over 60% is also invalid.

Who is comparing them? The strike ballot is literally valid and reflects the views of those that voted. MORI would argue that their opinion polls are statistically valid and reflect public opinion on the question(s) asked within a given margin of error. They are two different things.

[barrowc]

Of course what we don't know (but can guess) is whether the full offer was communicated or whether it just focused on the pay element. I don't doubt that the majority of the public think 8.6% over 3 years is a good offer.

Here is the entire text of the survey - http://www.ipsos-mori.com/Assets/Docs/P ... e-2013.pdf

I would now like to talk to you about postal staff and the Communication Workers Union (CWU) that represents them.

ASK ALL

Q1.

The Communication Workers Union (called the CWU) has said that it plans to ballot postal worker members this month for a potential national strike during October, potentially running into November or the December Christmas period of this year. Before this interview, had you heard that the postal workers union was considering going on strike?

SINGLE CODE
1.
Yes
2.
No

ASK ALL

Q2
To what extent are you opposed to or in favour of this potential national strike, based on what you know?

SINGLE CODE. REVERSE SCALE
1.
Strongly opposed
2.
Tend to oppose
3.
Neither for nor against
4.
Slightly in favour
5.
Strongly in favour
Don’t know (do not prompt)

ASK ALL

Q3.
The Royal Mail has offered postal workers an 8.6% rise in BASIC PAY over the next 3 years. This would be the split into 2.6% in year 1, 3% in year 2 and 2.8% in year 3. In your view how fair or unfair is this pay offer?

SINGLE CODE. REVERSE SCALE
1.
Very fair
2.
Fair
3.
Unfair
4.
Very unfair
Don’t know (do not prompt)

ASK ALL

Q4.
On balance do you personally think that the union – the CWU - should...?

SINGLE CODE. REVERSE SCALE
1.
Accept the offer and call off the plans to strike
2.
Reject the offer and continue plans to strike
Don’t know (do not prompt)

ASK ALL

Q5.
If a national strike were to happen it could be during October, potentially running into November or the December Christmas period of this year. To what extent, if at all, do you think a strike by CWU during this time of year would affect the public perception of postmen and postwomen? Would it be....

SINGLE CODE. REVERSE SCALE
1.
Very damaging
2.
Fairly Damaging
3.
Not very damaging
4.
Not damaging at all
Don’t know (do not prompt)

and of course http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G0ZZJXw4 ... lpage#t=21

[Brain Fury]

Thanks barrow . So as I suspected given the question asked it's not surprising that a majority thought that posties should not strike.

[Lincox]

Not only is the question on the percentages misleading, it is also false, as years two and three are not guaranteed and are open to discussion depending on inflation rates at the time.

[Lincox]

BarrowC, it may be a good idea to email a copy of this Ipsos/Mori Poll text to CWU HQ. I am sure they will be able to make hay out of this.