During the pandemic, as an office we delivered mail every other day (although some rounds didn't get mail for days). Parcel volumes increased significantly, but if I'm quite honest, they were nothing like what we’re seeing now. It’s absolutely bonkers and it really does feel far worse than the pandemic in terms of parcel volumes.
Yet despite delivering less frequently during COVID, RM still made around £700 million profit. Yes, RM made significant money delivering COVID test kits and I’m not sure how much government support or contracts were involved there either. But since then, things changed again. After the strikes, revisions were imposed in our office as they axed dozens of duties and we had extra loops bolted on to our frames. So we’re now delivering more mail AND more parcels per postie. An extra loop on top of the original 6 or 7 loops might be hard to quantify, but multiply that nationwide and it’s not small potatoes. The last manager we had certainly got a nice 4 figure bonus out of it
At the same time, RM says mail is dwindling - but stamp prices have increased significantly, metered mail has increased, and revenue per letter has gone up. So while volumes may be down, income per item is higher.
Then you’ve also got:
New entrants on lower pay, terms and conditions (saving millions)
Reduced sick pay
Voluntary redundancies
Overtime bans / reductions
Seasonal variation of hours (longs and shorts) that were supposed to save money
Revisions increasing productivity
Fewer duties overall
All of these reduce costs.
Now I understand that costs will have gone up too - things like fuel, infrastructure, etc. etc - but a lot of the big parcel investments (hubs, lockers, automation) that the company have spent billions on have already been made. Thats why they made significant losses in those years (-£419 million 2022-23 and -£348 million 2023-24) and perhaps now we’re seeing the benefit of those investments alongside booming parcel volumes!!
So I genuinely wonder.....could RM actually be making more money now than during COVID? It might not be £700 million profit again, but I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if it’s somewhere near that mark (even if RM are most reluctant to show that much profit). They might say that parcel margins are tighter now because RM are competing with gig economy couriers, but wasn't this the case during the pandemic?? Our market share on parcels might have declined since 2020 (35- 40% of the UK parcel market to around 25% market share today) BUT parcel volumes overall have increased significantly so that part doesn't fully check out especially if the infrastructure now exists as well.
When I looked at the finances and the growth of all the other UK couriers it shows that the parcel market is profitable overall. DPD reported pre-tax profits of £200 million, Evri had a record EBITDA of £341 million as volumes were up 25% in 2 years and whilst Amazon doesn't like to break things down to show how much profit they are making, they have seen rapid growth since 2020 and I wouldn't be surprised if it is growing the fastest. Thats why they are regularly dumping the sh*t on us. It's our one huge advantage over other couriers - we have network leverage. And the cost of delivering one extra parcel is relatively small once you're already delivering mail.
And when you then factor in that a billionaire who started as a minority shareholder now wants to own the whole company, it does make you wonder whether the business is being portrayed as struggling. If others are making plenty of dough from parcels and we are now delivering huge volumes, why aren't we as profitable?? They can't use delivering letters as an excuse. A 1st class stamp cost 76p in 2020, yet it's going up to £1.80 from the 7th April, thats a 137% increase!
Interested to hear what others are seeing in their offices - are parcel volumes now worse than the pandemic? And do you think RM’s finances are much better than they’re letting on??