Do you understand the steps China took to mainly stop the spread of the virus internally further than the Hubei province?Rasbas wrote:If you look at the numbers in China, where you could argue they have had their peak of infections, it stands at around 80,860 cases, thats from a population of around 1.3 billion people. Their new cases have been dropping for a while now, around 10-20 new cases a day (source https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;). Those numbers just don't fit the governments predictions.
From approx 40,000 tests taken just around 1,300 are covid-19 meaning 38,700 are just normal cold/flu. Which one should you really worry about, normal flu is just as nasty for at risk groups.
Yes, of course the numbers will rise and we should do more to protect ourselves just as we should any other flu season.
When you have 24 hour rolling news about a single story people are going to think it's worse than it is.
Clearly was too late to stop the spread of people travelling out of that province internationally, but it was contained by and large by quarantining an area that populated over 60 million people. Once restrictions are lifted it will start to spread again and they will probably need to repeat the previous steps albeit perhaps to a lesser degree now that they have created some capacity within their health care system.
It is not accurate to suggest that a small percentage of Chinese population contracted the virus (officially reported), therefore the same small percentage can be expected across the globe. Take Italy for example. The ratio of people infected per million of population has surpassed China's by a factor of 7.2. The next worst affected area in terms of per million of population is Switzerland which is 4.6 times that of China.
In fact, statistically speaking China are the 18th worst affected country in terms of diagnoses per head of population!