Yeah but how many of those 27,000 were replacing another new contract who chucked it?Saturn1 wrote: ↑08 Mar 2026, 18:54The union quoted something like 27,000 new contracts in the last 3½ years? That's a quarter of the workforce. So obviously a good number of legacy grades have already left.scotchy1962 wrote: ↑08 Mar 2026, 15:09This tipping point everyone keeps talking about, when is it going to happen?
It's been 4 yrs and is nowhere near close yet, i understand that at some stage it will come into effect but when exactly because the way it looks from outside is that as many newbies are leaving, or maybe more, as old contracts leaving/retiring.
I suspect that tipping point is further away than most people think, and unless they make it unbearable for the current crop of legacies it could be 10-20 yrs away.
They could easily convince more to go, especially with ODM on the horizon, and rumours of no fixed duty.
That doesnt mean a quarter of the workforce are on new contracts if a lot of them have replaced each other
Legacy John retires
Newco Bob replaces him
Newco Bob leaves 6 weeks later
Newco Jenny replaces Bob
She leaves 4 months later
Newco Fred replaces her
Newco Fred leaves 5 months later
Newco Billy replaces him
In essence there have been 4 new contracted workers employed at some point that year but the end result is Newco Billy has replaced Legacy John rather than them all staying