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My Latest Voice Column
2010 – THE YEAR WE MAKE CONTACT
It is sometimes easier to change the past than to predict the future.
A whole swathe of people make a living by predicting for individuals, this or that in their lives, star signs, health lines and the like.
Bookmakers become rich on the fact that we try to guess the outcome of a forthcoming event in sport or the wider world.
Polling organisations exist to measure and ascertain the outcome of forthcoming events, be that buying habits or the success of a particular product.
Pollsters are famous for gauging the standing of political parties with the public. Based on probability theory, there is no doubt that opinion polls can be a useful guide to the public mood.
The CWU itself uses opinion polls for campaigning activity, to measure our campaigns in checking against where we want to be as against where we are.
Recent polls have suggested that the Conservatives are on course for an outright victory at the next General Election. Notwithstanding the recent improvement in the position of the Labour Party in the polls, it would appear it is all over bar the shouting.
A recent poll by Mori provided to the CWU told a somewhat different story. It showed when asked who they support - Labour or Tories - 34% went to the Tories and 34% to Labour with Liberals at 16%, others 16% When asked if they would actually vote - Tories went up to 37%, Labour down to 31% Liberals up to 17% - others down to 15%
The significance being that many Labour supporters appear to be saying that they will not vote at the next election. - The “stay away” vote. There was evidence of this in the recent German General Election, when the SDP (Labour’s sister party in Germany) saw its core vote stay away.
The significance for CWU members in our workplaces and across our sectors is that, for specific issues to be addressed, we need a Labour Government.
The message from Labour’s core support, of which CWU people are a crucial part, is that the party must deal with our concerns – the Royal Mail Pension deficit, in particular, together with broadband access for all and the wider interests of the Labour movement
If Labour does that in the run up to the forthcoming General Election it could surprise the pundits and the political elite and achieve an historic fourth term.
Odds describe the future – they do not dictate it.
My prediction for 2010 is that the CWU will be working to protect and promote the interests of all CWU members.
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2010 – THE YEAR WE MAKE CONTACT -Billy Hayes Blog
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Big Daz
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dvbuk55
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DirtyHarry
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Re: 2010 – THE YEAR WE MAKE CONTACT -Billy Hayes Blog
Earth, calling Billy Hayes......Earth, calling Billy Hayes, come back down to planet Earth, Billy, asap. 
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k979aaa
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Re: 2010 – THE YEAR WE MAKE CONTACT -Billy Hayes Blog
What planet is he on and did he know that royalmail only speak/understand MONEY!.
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fishtank
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Re: 2010 – THE YEAR WE MAKE CONTACT -Billy Hayes Blog
"If Labour does that in the run up to the forthcoming General Election it could surprise the pundits and the political elite and achieve an historic fourth term."
"My prediction for 2010 is that the CWU will be working to protect and promote the interests of all CWU members."
My prediction for 2010 is that Billy should be fitted for a jacket that buttons up the back.
Shades of David Icke,make that a torquiose shell suit that buttons up the back.
"I am a channel for the Christ spirit. The title was given to me very recently by the Godhead."
"My prediction for 2010 is that the CWU will be working to protect and promote the interests of all CWU members."
My prediction for 2010 is that Billy should be fitted for a jacket that buttons up the back.
Shades of David Icke,make that a torquiose shell suit that buttons up the back.
"I am a channel for the Christ spirit. The title was given to me very recently by the Godhead."
good times, bad times you know I've had my share
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norbert
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Re: 2010 – THE YEAR WE MAKE CONTACT -Billy Hayes Blog
Some in the CLP's believe Cameron is beatable if New Labour were more aggressive in their attacks BUT they see no chance if they keep up this more of the same , failed contradictory third way nonsense .
I think the only realistic hope is to keep Cameron's majority down . Billy has a point about the anti Tory vote , Woy Jenkins and his Social Democrats split that vote in '83 giving Thatcher a landslide .
Maybe Billy is hoping for a Harman / Cruddas or Millibrand leadership after Pa McRuin steps down and Mandy goes back to the Lords or Brussels .
I think the only realistic hope is to keep Cameron's majority down . Billy has a point about the anti Tory vote , Woy Jenkins and his Social Democrats split that vote in '83 giving Thatcher a landslide .
Maybe Billy is hoping for a Harman / Cruddas or Millibrand leadership after Pa McRuin steps down and Mandy goes back to the Lords or Brussels .
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pinstripe
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Re: 2010 – THE YEAR WE MAKE CONTACT -Billy Hayes Blog
Well I can guarantee that I will not vote Labour. Call me a stay away voter if you like, but I will not use my vote to return this government to power.
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BELIAL
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Re: 2010 – THE YEAR WE MAKE CONTACT -Billy Hayes Blog
Just trying to get my head round this one. Labour=anti union laws ;subsidise the mega rich with welfare payments in the trillions ;and the gap between workers and parasites hits an all time high; Tory =the same but with less apologies and obfuscation.
Please choose carefully . Not much of a choice really ,is it?
Please choose carefully . Not much of a choice really ,is it?
Bye
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fishtank
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Re: 2010 – THE YEAR WE MAKE CONTACT -Billy Hayes Blog
Does Billy believe that this loyalty to the labour party is reciprocated.
Like a faithful husband he sits at home while his political partner jumps into bed with anyone who will have them.
If you have plans on being a Labour MP.GO NOW.
But choose your constituency wisely Billy,not too many posties would be advisable
Like a faithful husband he sits at home while his political partner jumps into bed with anyone who will have them.
If you have plans on being a Labour MP.GO NOW.
But choose your constituency wisely Billy,not too many posties would be advisable
good times, bad times you know I've had my share
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stokes11eg
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